In part one of this two-part series (part one here), I gave my picks on some future odds to look at for NFC South teams. This time, we’ll look at some more specific player props for the upcoming 2021 season. The odds I use will be from FanDuel and DraftKings, as they are popular and trusted sites. I use Bovada.lv myself for my sportsbook, and you can get a $250 Welcome bonus once you join the website. Here are some NFC South players with great player prop odds this season!
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Kyle Pitts (+1100)
Many fans believe the obvious choice here is Trevor Lawrence at (+270), but there are a lot of pieces that have to come together in Jacksonville for him to be successful enough to win the award. No one would be upset if he won 10 out of 17 games this year. It would be a huge step in the right direction for the Jaguars, but I believe that the expectation for the number one overall pick may be a little too high in Las Vegas.
With that being said, there are a number of first-round QBs who could also have stellar years (like Justin Herbert of the Chargers last season) and claim the award themselves, but the pressure may be too much for these rookies to handle in their first year. This leaves Najee Harris (+1000) and Kyle Pitts (+1100) with the best odds for a non-QB to win OROY. Harris should be a good fit at RB on a Steelers’ team that has a lot of offensive weapons. With that being said, Pittsburgh was the seventh-best passing offense in the league, and I don’t think they will change up the recipe too much. TE Kyle Pitts is on a Falcons team that just lost Julio Jones, one of the best receivers in the league, and is looking to put up big numbers in Matt Ryan’s offense. Pitts could be a sneaky pick to win the award this year, and I am picking him over Harris despite his better odds.
Under 1,350 Receiving Yards: Calvin Ridley (+100)
This year, Calvin Ridley should see more targets due to the departure of Julio Jones, but 1,350 yards is still a high bar to hurdle. Last season, he finished at 1,374 in Arthur Smith’s passing offense, but he hasn’t hit the 1,000-yard mark in any other season. Defenses will prepare to treat Ridley like the WR1 he is, and that’ll open the flood gates for Kyle Pitts, a bigger target who will probably split, if not lead, the team in targets this season. Ridley can still have a really good season without hitting the mark this year, and hopefully he can avoid injury again this season.
Over 36.5 Passing Touchdowns: Tom Brady (+100)
At (+100), this is a great pick for Brady. He may not be in his “prime,” but Brady did throw for 40 touchdowns last season. Since then, Tampa Bay has re-signed all of their offensive players for the seven-time champ to make another run. Unless this year is the fall-off season for Brady, he should be able to hit the 37 touchdown mark.
Edited By: Isaac Dirrim and Rupayan “Abs” Samanta.